The
global politics is complicated, sensitive, volatile, to say at least
one step short of explosive. There are core changes.
The world that was
based on the post WW II rules has failed and it’s no longer here.
These rules were based on sovereignty of national borders and respect
of cultural differences, entrusted for safekeeping to the UN and the
Security Council. This world order was preserved throughout the Cold
War, but even then it never kept to its founding principals and
didn’t safekeep nations.
In the aftermath
of the Cold War, the Western societies in the Global North kept their
wealthiest status, regarded themselves as actual winners of the Cold
War, and deemed themselves as the only real leaders in the free
world. As most industrialized and technologically most advanced
nations they enforced a rule based order, rules devised by them to
suit them most. Rules which could be bent according to their will,
despite any opposition. The world became unipolar and this shifted
the decision making from the UN to other forums and theaters, like
NATO and G7.
This act wasn’t
accepted by the rest of the world composing of the Global South, and
other powers which kept the status of world powers, despite their
forfeit in the Cold War like Russia, and the new rising economic
powerhouse of China. Since then, a quarter of a century has passed
engulfed in turmoil, human suffering in wars, colossal economic
migrant waves and since recently climate refugees.
Another forum was
formed, BRICS, uniting the Global South and incorporating new
financial institutions to counter the MMF and the World Bank, even
new payment system to counter SWIFT. The trade between these
countries is done with use of their own currencies, avoiding the use
of global reserve currencies. Since its foundation BRICS grew into
BRICS+ accepting new influential member nations from the Global
South, gaining in financial and economic strength, and with it
expanding political power.
Now world politics
is multipolar, which basically means there are more centers of
decision making. This reality is not acceptable by the Western world,
and refuses to relinquish its control, which in fact is no longer
theirs to control. Right now we’re witnessing civilization clash,
filled only with a void of empathy. The greed of the old world
doesn’t want to accept the obvious existence of the new one, and
the new centers of decision making are trying to undermine any form
of control by the Global North. This leads to conflicts which aren’t
naive at all, like the one in Ukraine, the Middle East, Africa, and
most recently Iran.
This friction
threatens to ignite other hot spots, Taiwan, Kashmir, even more of
Africa; increasing the probability of direct conflict which will very
likely turn nuclear since the beginning. And this will mean the end
of everything here on Earth.
Unless… deep
within our fabric we reach for reason and wisdom to overcome our
differences. With kindness and mutual respect our relations can only
prosper. Our cultural differences are the wealth of the
civilization. Humanity means all of this together, our emotional
intelligence is vast.
Let's reach deep wthhin our hopes and dreams.
Let’s have a
good one year, and many more peaceful to come.